b'CONSTRUCTION & MAINTENANCE LOOKING FORWARDNATIONAL SUMMARY HIGHLIGHTS20202029Canadas construction employment is poised to intensify in 2020 and carry intoDISTRIBUTION OF CONSTRUCTION 2021, propelled by major public transportation and infrastructure, utility, liquefied CONSTRUCTION & MAINTENANCE LOOKING FORWARD EMPLOYMENT IN 2020,natural gas (LNG), pipeline, and health services projects. Over the longer term, growth slows but remains positive, driven by continued high levels of immigrationCANADAand recovery in Canadas Western provinces. Labour market challenges, however, BUILDFORCE REPORT NATIONAL SUMMARY HIGHLIGHTSare anticipated to persist and intensify over the coming decade as the retirement 2020wave crests and the pool of available youths shrinks. 10% Weaker housing starts curtailed the pace of construction growth across most20202029 23% TABLE 1: CHANGES IN RESIDENTIAL EMPLOYMENT BY PROVINCE. (SOURCE: STATISTICS CANADA, BUILDFORCE CANADA) NON-RESIDENTIALprovinces in 2019, although requirements ratcheted up in British Columbia,MAINTENANCE NEW HOUSINGregions of Ontario, and Prince Edward Island, with exacerbated recruitment REGION % CHANGE 2020-2024 % CHANGE 2025-2029challengesCa at r a quired t ctiodr mploy g of tworkers fromsifyghbou ri nd carry vinces. DISTRIBUTION OF CONSTRUCTION Canada th nad e s constru he n e awin menis poised to inten nei in 2020 a ng prointo23% 3% 0%2021, propelled by major public transportation and infrastructure, utility, liquefiedEMPLOYMENT IN 2020,natural gas (LNG), pipeline, and health services projects. Over the longer term, The 20202029 outlook scenario projects a bounce back in housing constructionENGINEERINGNewfoundland and Labrador -2% -3% CANADAgrowth slows but remains positive, driven by continued high levels of immigration Nova Scotia buoyed by continued high levels of immigration, which contribute to modest27% and recovery in Canadas Western provinces. Labour market challenges, however, 1% 1%population growth and sustain demand for new-housing construction in most17%RESIDENTIAL are anticipated to persist and intensify over the coming decade as the retirement New Brunswick provinces. Publ cresansportation and ilable r infhs structure investments have wave ts and the pool of ava yout shrinks. -1%ic tr 2% othe ra 10%INDUSTRIAL,COMMERCIAL, RENOVATION AND 2020emerged as the dominant driver of construction growth across Canada, thoughNON-RESIDENTIAL 23%MAINTENANCEWeaker housing starts curtailed the pace of construction growth across most Prince Edward Island 4% 2% INSTITUTIONAL (ICI) NEW HOUSINGmajor energy ands in 2019, e sectorequi ui mentsnt tcremai p a centra ol fixt bia, ofMAINTENANCEprovince resourcalthough r req re reme ra s heted u n in British C lum ureQuebec Canadas const nscti Ontdema -1% quirement l s,d, speciallyrbated r ow -7% arketregio ofario, and Prince Edward Isanwith exace ecruitment ru on nd re e the gr ing mchallenges that required the drawing of workers from neighbouring provinces. 23% Ontario for industrial maintenance.3% 0%The 20202029 outlook scenario projects a bounce back in housing constructionENGINEERINGManitoba Despite a s bu wer b rowth outhi ok, manyimmig inces continue to grap 1% tith labour -2% ple wlo oyed g y continued lo gh levels ofprov ration, which contribute to modes st27% shortages that are likel wth and tensify. demand fo h the l ous ger-termction in moweaker17%RESIDENTIAL population gro y to insustain Althoug r new-h on ing constru outlook isSaskatchewan 10% 9%provinces. Public transportation and other infrastructure investments have compared to the previous decade, recruitment challenges are likely to persist dueINDUSTRIAL,COMMERCIAL, RENOVATION AND Alberta emerged as the dominant driver of construction growth across Canada, thoughHIGHLIGHTS MAINTENANCE9% 3% INSTITUTIONAL (ICI)to the expected retirement of just over 257,100 workers over the next 10 years.major energy and resource sector requirements remain a central fixture of Canadas construction demand requirements, especially the growing marketBritish Columbia 3% 5%for industrial maintenance. Total construction employment is expected to addDespite a slower growth outlook, many provinces continue to grapple with labour50,200 workers (+5%), driven by gains in bothshortages that are likely to intensify. Although the longer-term outlook is weakerresidential and non-residential sectors.compared to the previous decade, recruitment challenges are likely to persist due Meeting the anticipated peak employmentto the expected retirement of just over 257,100 workers over the next 10 years. HIGHLIGHTS10-YEAR WORKFORCEHousing starts and employment related todemands in British Columbia and Ontario will likely require significant levels ofOUTLOOK FOR CANADATotal construction employment is expected to addnew-home construction recedes with aging50,200 workers (+5%), driven by gains in bothand weakening population growth; renovationinterprovincial mobility, which mayresidential and non-residential sectors.be a challenge. Potential recruitmentactivity emerges as a key source of stable10-YEAR WORKFORCE Housing starts and employment related toopportunities may exist in the more257,100residential employment.2029resource-driven markets, includingRETIREMENTS 227,600 and weakening population growth; renovationOUTLOOK FOR CANADA new-home construction recedes with aging Major public transportation and infrastructure,Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Newfoundlandactivity emerges as a key source of stableutility, oil and gas, pipeline, and health servicesNEW ENTRANTS residential employment.and Labrador, where demands continue257,100 projects add to non-residential demand, with stronger2029to recede. As work winds down fromRETIREMENTS 227,600non-residential construction gains between 2020Major public transportation and infrastructure,peak levels on Manitobas Keeyask hydroutility, oil and gas, pipeline, and health servicesNEW ENTRANTS and 2021.development project between 2020 and50,200 (+4.5%) projects add to non-residential demand, with stronger2023, a large number of workers arenon-residential construction gains between 2020 An aging labour force and the expected retirementexpected to be released.50,200 (+4.5%)and 2021. of just over 257,100 construction workers remainsEMPLOYMENTAn aging labour force and the expected retirementCHANGE a key driver of demand requirements over the nextAcross the next decade, constructionEMPLOYMENT of just over 257,100 construction workers remainsdecade.employment is expected to rise modestlyCHANGE a key driver of demand requirements over the nextcompared to the 2019 starting point, risingdecade.by 50,200 jobs (+5 per cent) nationally.THE AVAILABLE WORKFORCEAVERAGEMost gains are concentrated between 2020AVERAGE 7.4%and 2026, with more moderate growthUNEMPLOYMENT7.4%UNEMPLOYMENT The 2020 BuildForce LMI system tracks changes in the residential labour force RATE RATEprojected over the final three years offrom 2020 to 2029: the scenario period, driven by modest Total residential construction employment rises by 17,100 workers (+3 perincreases in infrastructure, sustainingBuildForces LMI SystemBuildForces LMI Systemcent) by 2029, with declines in new-housing employment offset by gains in capital, maintenance work and residentialBuildForce Canada uses a scenario-based forecasting system to assess future construction labour requirements in the heavy industrial, residential, and non-renovation and maintenance. residential construction markets. This labour market information (LMI) system tracks 34 trades and occupations. To further improve the robustness of the system, renovation requirements.BuildForce Canada uses a scenario-based forecasting system to assess future construction labour requirements in the heavy industrial, residential, and non-BuildForce consults with industry stakeholders, including owners, contractors, and labour groups, to validate the scenario assumptions and construction project residential construction markets. This labour market information (LMI) system tracks 34 trades and occupations. To further improve the robustness of the system, Hiring needs are dominated by the anticipated exit of an estimated 130,100 lists, and seeks input from government on related analysis. The information is then distilled into labour market condition rankings to help industry employers with Despite slower employment growth,BuildForce consults with industry stakeholders, including owners, contractors, and labour groups, to validate the scenario assumptions and construction project the management of their respective human resources.workers expected to retire from the residential labour force over the coming demographic trends will intensifylists, and seeks input from government on related analysis. The information is then distilled into labour market condition rankings to help industry employers with decade. the management of their respective human resources.recruiting needs, as 257,100 construction workers22 per cent of the 2019 labour First-time new entrants aged 30 and younger drawn from the local populationforceare expected to retire over theare expected to add 105,800 new workers to the residential labour force.nextdecade.Figure 1 provides a summary of the estimated changes in the national residential Taken together, by 2029, industry willlabour force across the full 20202029 scenario period.need to recruit, train and retain some 307,300 new workers, which may become 22THE OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SCAFFOLD INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION OF CANADA'