b'CONSTRUCTION & MAINTENANCE LOOKING FORWARDmanitobafol Manufacturing, major projects lift demand in 2019;a period of adjustment to follow Construction employment requirements in Manitoba are expected to rise in 2019HIGHLIGHTSowing a pause in 2018 atributed to a decrease in new homebuilding. Manitobas20192028manufacturing expansion increased demand for industrial buildings between 2016 and 2018, and further demands for industrial buildings are projected to increase total employment requirements for industrial, commercial, and institutional (ICI) building construction again in 2019. A slowdown is expected to fol DISTRIBUTION OF CONSTRUCTIONinfrastructure projects al ow in 2020, as further declines in new homebuilding, theEMPLOYMENT IN 2019, MANITOBAcompletion of major hydro-related projects, and reduced investment in road and highwayNON-RESIDENTIALlat declines, however, should be modest relative to the scale of the significant expansionMAINTENANCEover the past decade.contribute to lower levels of provincial construction activity. The 2019Construction employment over the 20192028 scenario period is projected to fal by 1,900 workers (-4.6%) by 2021 from the 2019 anticipated peak. Modest gains in residential andENGINEERING NEW HOUSINGnon-residential (ICI) building investment should contribute to a gain of 1,600 jobs over theINDUSTRIAL,overal er half of the decade, while employment in engineering construction wildecline due to lower public- and private-sector investments in infrastructure. continue toCOMMERCIAL,Manitobas construction industry is coming of a significant period of expansion, withRESIDENTIAL localy, asemployment levels nearly doubling between 2002 and 2017. As requirementsMAINTENANCErecede from peak levels over the coming decade, the industry must stil hire, train, andINSTITUTIONAL (ICI) RENOVATION AND retain almost 6,100 additional workers to replace the 8,000 workers expected to retire during this period. Manitobas younger population should help to meet hiring needs 2019 CONSTRUCTION LABOUR OUTLOOKAVERAGE uming the industry can atract its historical share of available new entrants. t T hi h e p n d To e ee n 2 a r c t s e 0 c i e t T o o a l t x r1 p n i r h r d o n l t t r o 8 r o e e h e s e i i E t n n v d v h e d s t c n a c g a a o d HIGHLIGHTS u b c r e o a T o g n t c e e t t u c y l h d i e 3 i h n o i d s o e e n 4 s n c e e - a 9 e s t n t i d e . s o e n e r y , 6 t d s i e 5 y r n p e n n a e n a i 3 u c e n c 0 s l r o n a g c l 0 o e e c c 2 i a v t 0 t n n t t r i o d r d t t n l n e i 0 b s i i i u v - g d r e b n o e o a e s 1 . r o i c r e s y i e t f n c n t r e i 9 u n i y r t n i v t s l s i o o r r i 2 f o o o v e b n i i 1 r g e d n 0 a f n a f e f p r e e , r o n e g 9 2 r s o s n e f o r e e t 2 n o f 0 8 t t c e r c r f r a l 0 t i r 0 .o e a u e o o i s l e j 1 a a e p o n c v n d o i 9 l a b h s s t n e l r t s .o v u i s t o t o a t c l t h t e p a s y r e r o 2 u i u r i e y u p m r r b s c o % i r s o d c 2 n a i t t u d l e i p o j d h r t i 0 n t e n e z i o p n e r p r e e o 2 g c o i d v u t d e n m n a p 1 t j s e c b e i e r g 4 c r , n o c a l r o l o d c o , c y 1 e i i e v n c n n M j t o e p , m e e n e t d - 4 t u a m i l c ra h a d s 0 n i a a n rn t n i r . e 0u s n i l t t i e n i os n e t a s o t w f . n b o t i h da t re,60% 10-YEAR WORKFORCE OUTLOOK of mFOR MANITOBA m2028FOR MANITOBA 8,000RETIREMENTS 8,000 de m % m m m m h NEW ENTRANTSd r w wes wDISTRIBUTION OFUNEMPLOYMENTm o RATE 8.2% -1,900 (-4.9%) % m o BuildForces LMI System EMPLOYMENTCHANGECONSTRUCTION EMPLOYMENTBuildForce Canada uses a scenario-based forecasting system to assess future construction labour requirements in the heavy industrial, residential, and non-residential construction markets. This labour market information (LMI) system tracks 34 trades and occupations. To further improve the robustness of the system, BuildForce consults with industry stakeholders, including owners, contractors, and labour groups, to validate the scenario assumptions and construction project lists, and seeks input from government on related analysis. The information is then distilled into labour market condition rankings to help industry employers with IN 2019, MANITOBA HIGHLIGHTS the management of their respective human resources.Non-residentialThe non-residential sector accounts for 60% of maintenance Residential12% construction employment in Manitoba, andrenovation andengineering construction remains the dominant drivermaintenanceEngineering of labour demands.24% 28%Engineering investment is projected to decline 30% from2019 to 2021, in line with the completion of major hydro projects and reduced investment levels in public- and private-sector infrastructure development.New housingTotal industry labour force is projected to decline by a14% modest 1,900 over the scenario perioda 4.6% decline from around 41,400 in 2018 to 39,500 by 2028.Industrial,The strongest declines are anticipated over the next commercial, institutional (IC)three years.23%10-YEAR WORKFORCE OUTLOOK FOR MANITOBA Canadas demographic crunch will become more severe over the next decade and competition 8,0008,000for top talent will be intense. Retirements New entrants By 2028, approximately 22 per cent of Canadas construction 8000 and maintenance labour force 7000 will have retired, while the pool of workers under 25 years of age will decline as 6000 a percentage of the overall population. To meet the industrys future labour force needs, successful 5000 companies will need to broaden their recruitment efforts to include all sources of labour in the 4000 construction and maintenance industry, including 3000 Indigenous people, women and newcomers to Canada. - Bill Ferreira, Executive Director, 2000 BuildForce Canada10000-1000-2000-1,900 (-4.9%) employment change8.2% AVERAGE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Information courtesy of BuildForce Canadas CONSTRUCTION AND MAINTENANCE LOOKING FORWARDMANITOBA report. For the full report, visit buildforce.ca.Issue 3FallEdition 2019 BUILD MANITOBA 25'